The two-week forecast (Figure 1) indicates a likelihood of above-average precipitation over central and southeast Mexico, Guatemala, eastern Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, northern Colombia, Venezuela, Guyana, northwest Brazil, Ecuador, western Peru, north Algeria, Tunisia, northern Libya, central Egypt, eastern Côte d'Ivoire, Burkina Faso, Ghana, Togo, Benin, Nigeria, western and northern Cameroon, northeastern Central African Republic, southeastern Kenya, central and southern Tanzania, northeastern Mozambique, central South Africa, eastern Kazakhstan, the eastern Russian Federation, northeast China, eastern Nepal, southwest India, southern Myanmar, Thailand, western Laos, southern Philippines, northern Australia, and northern New Zealand.

There is also a likelihood of below-average precipitation over the US southwest and southeast, northwest Mexico, western Cuba, northeast and central Brazil, Bolivia, Chile, northern Paraguay, northern Argentina, the southern UK, northern France, Belgium, the Netherlands, central Germany, southern Norway, northern Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, northern Belarus, southern Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, northwest Russian Federation, southwest Mali, Guinea, Sierra Leone, western Liberia, Ethiopia, southern Zambia, Zimbabwe, northern Botswana, northern Namibia, northeast South Africa, southern Afghanistan, northeastern Pakistan, northwest India, Central and eastern China, eastern Malaysia, and central Indonesia.